The Hungarian Grand Prix is always an exciting race on the Formula 1 calendar, and this year, it promises to deliver even more drama and intrigue. With McLaren continuing to dominate and a few key storylines unfolding, the Hungarian GP is shaping up to be an unmissable event.
Weather: A Game Changer
The weather plays a crucial role in any Formula 1 race, and Hungary’s unpredictable climate will likely affect the race strategy this weekend. While the weather forecast for the weekend shows mostly dry conditions, Sunday brings a higher chance of rain. This is reminiscent of the chaos we saw at the Spa-Francorchamps race earlier this season, where teams were faced with the tough decision of balancing their car setups for both dry and wet conditions.
The big question heading into this race is whether teams will gamble by adjusting their downforce levels for the rain on Sunday. The experience of Spa has left many teams with the lesson that, when it rains, the race can be unpredictable. In Spa, the race director decided to wait until the rain subsided before resuming the race. This meant that teams with rain setups were caught off-guard when the track began to dry, and some struggled to regain competitiveness.
For the teams heading into Hungary, the dilemma is similar: should they compromise their dry-weather performance in anticipation of a potential rain-affected race? The teams will be hoping for a better understanding of how the race weekend unfolds, but that rain chance on Sunday could completely change the outcome.
McLaren’s Dominance and the Piastri-Norris Battle
Undoubtedly, the biggest storyline of the season has been McLaren’s resurgence. The Woking-based team has made incredible strides this year, consistently outperforming rivals and becoming the favorites for podiums, even race wins. McLaren has raised its game, leaving behind a number of competitors who are now focusing on the 2025 season.
But McLaren’s success is not only down to their impressive car development but also the intra-team rivalry between Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri. The two drivers have been in a fierce battle for supremacy within the team, and this rivalry has intensified as both are now legitimate contenders for podiums at every race.
The McLaren drivers were involved in a heated scenario last season at the Hungarian GP, where McLaren mismanaged Piastri’s strategy and eventually asked Norris to let his teammate pass in order to aid him in the championship fight. That moment highlighted the team dynamics and the importance of working together to maximize the team’s overall points.
However, 2025 has been a different story. Piastri and Norris are fighting tooth and nail for supremacy within the team, and this rivalry looks set to continue at the Hungarian Grand Prix. Both drivers have shown they can challenge for the win, and with Norris just 16 points ahead in the championship, the tension between them is palpable.
Norris enters the weekend with the momentum on his side, having scored podiums in three of the last four races. Meanwhile, Piastri’s aggressive driving style continues to impress, but his consistency in bringing the car home is also a key strength. Team Principal Zak Brown has acknowledged that McLaren’s current situation—having both drivers in the championship fight—is a “perfect scenario” for the team. However, it’s also a situation that could quickly turn into a headache if one of the drivers falls behind in the points race. The competition between Piastri and Norris will likely be one of the most exciting subplots of the weekend.
Verstappen’s Title Hopes: Are They Really Gone?
While McLaren is making waves, it’s impossible to ignore the dominance of Max Verstappen. Although his lead in the championship is substantial, standing at more than 80 points over Piastri, Verstappen’s ability to steal points from McLaren’s rivals cannot be underestimated.
Some pundits believe Verstappen is out of the title race, but his driving remains at an incredibly high level, and the possibility of him causing disruption for McLaren at Hungary should not be ruled out. Red Bull, led by Verstappen, remains the most formidable force on the grid, but many believe that their focus will shift to the 2026 season, given the team’s future plans.
Nevertheless, McLaren is fully aware of Verstappen’s potential to disrupt the championship battle. Zak Brown himself has stated that it’s too early to completely rule Verstappen out of the title race, especially with so much racing left to go. His ability to take points away from McLaren, especially in unpredictable conditions, makes him a key factor in the title fight.
Verstappen’s team principal, Christian Horner, believes Red Bull will keep pushing in 2025 to learn as much as they can about their car’s aerodynamics, which could ultimately benefit them in 2026. Verstappen has echoed this sentiment, stating that development work this season will provide valuable data for the future. As much as the team has one eye on 2026, Verstappen’s form and competitive edge will always be a factor in any race.
Ferrari: A Disappointment in 2025
The once-mighty Ferrari team has struggled in 2025, and this weekend in Hungary may just be another chapter in their disappointing season. Expectations for Ferrari were high at the start of the season, but the team has failed to capitalize on their potential, especially in terms of car setup and performance.
The only real battle for Ferrari is to secure P2 in the constructor’s championship, but that is increasingly unlikely to be contested by anyone other than Red Bull or McLaren. Ferrari’s leadership has reportedly already given up on developing the 2025 car, signaling that they have turned their attention to the future.
This decision to focus on the future may, in part, be a response to criticism from drivers like Lewis Hamilton, who have called for a shift in focus for Ferrari. While there is potential for Ferrari to pull off an unexpected result in Hungary, especially if Verstappen and Red Bull falter, it’s unlikely that the team will be able to mount a serious challenge for a podium finish.
Mercedes: Looking to the Future
Mercedes is another team with its eyes set on the future. Despite showing some improvement in recent races, they are focused on developing their car for 2026 and beyond. The W16 car has shown promise, particularly in cooler conditions, but Mercedes seems content with their current position, knowing that they have two talented young drivers in George Russell and Lewis Hamilton who could deliver championships in the future.
Hamilton, in particular, has a strong record at the Hungarian GP, having won the race eight times in his career. With a good chance of rain on Sunday, Mercedes could be in a position to take advantage of cooler temperatures and capitalize on their car’s potential in those conditions. However, despite hopes for a solid performance in Hungary, Mercedes’ ambitions are set for the long-term, with their focus on the upcoming regulations in 2026.
The Battle for P1: Who Will Prevail?
As we head into the Hungarian Grand Prix, the main battle to watch will be between McLaren teammates Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris. Their rivalry is shaping up to be one of the most compelling in recent memory, with both drivers clearly capable of winning races and challenging for the championship.
With McLaren’s dominance, Verstappen’s ever-present threat, and the unpredictable weather, the Hungarian GP promises to be a race full of drama and excitement. As the battle between Piastri and Norris intensifies, one thing is certain: Hungary will be another pivotal chapter in the story of this incredible season.
Who will come out on top in Hungary? Only time will tell, but one thing is for sure—this Grand Prix will be one for the history books.
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